The official forecast number of pepper production for the new crop will be available at the beginning of next month, according to Business Line.
Karnataka farmer picking pepper
Despite unfavorable weather changes, Indian pepper farmers still expect higher yields this year. According to them, the output of the 2019/20 crop will be in the range of 50,000-55,000 tons.
Last year’s crop they had forecast 48,000 tons, but the final result hit 52,000 tons.
According to Kishore Shamji, owner of Kochi-based Kishor Spices, we are expecting a better 2019/20 crop, with an output of about 60,000 tonnes, due to favorable weather in November-December last year. . However, the drought in March – April, then heavy rain and floods let us down.
The International Pepper Community (IPC) has forecast India’s 2019/20 crop at 47,000 tonnes. But Mr. Kishore Shamji thinks it could be at 50,000 to 55,000 tons, or at least about the same as last year.
According to the Spices Council of India, the forecast number will be released in about a month. The forecast is that output may remain unchanged but prices will change during this crop.
According to the Directorate of Arecanut and Spices Development (DASD), in Kozhikode, Kerala state, they are waiting for the survey results to be released at the upcoming meeting. The DASD data for the crop prior to 2018/19 is about 62,400 tonnes of black pepper on 138,000 hectares of pepper plantations.
According to the chairman of the All India Spices Export Forum, it is still too early to talk about the 2019/20 crop due to climate change, but he also gives the figure around 52,000-55,000 tonnes. He also said that it is necessary to import more pepper due to low prices and to increase value.
The price of black pepper in India is currently fluctuating at Rs 300-325/kg, while the price in Sri Lanka is only around Rs 200/kg (about $2,800/ton). This has encouraged imports rather than expecting in the domestic market, Mr. K.Shamji emphasized and said, India is the second largest importer of Vietnamese pepper, only after the US.
It is known that the minimum price of 500 Rupees / kg to impose import tax is not feasible, because Vietnamese pepper still passes through Sri Lanka under SAFTA, bypassing all rules to reach the Indian coast. This will threaten the domestic price of Indian pepper in the new crop to fall to Rs 250/kg.
*The pepper harvest in India will be conducted from the end of November to the middle of March next year.
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